Overview: We see the idea of Probability, odds, likelihood, expected outcome, and other predicted values every day. In many cases, the writer or reporter does not have a very good understanding of probability so that the reported values are incorrect. For example, there is no such thing as giving 110% since 100% is everything.
Instructions: Search the news, or online articles and sites to find the term “probability” (likelihood, odds, and expected outcome are also acceptable terms rather than “probability”).. Locate two examples, one where you believe it is used correctly and one that you think seems fishy. Post your sources as a reference. No need to explain the articles, or how the term is used because that will be done in our response later in this module.
Purpose: To help improve your critical thinking skills when it comes to the news and daily events. Not to just accept everything at face value.
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